Which State Will Win Wednesday’s $930M Powerball Jackpot?

_{Who will be the lucky ticket holder this Wednesday? Every ticket has the same 1 in 292.2 million chance. (Image: Associated Press/Alamy)}

Who will be the lucky ticket holder this Wednesday? Every ticket has the same 1 in 292.2 million chance.

The Powerball jackpot has climbed to an estimated $930 million for Wednesday night’s drawing on December 10, 2025, after no ticket matched all six numbers on Monday night. The winning numbers on Dec. 8 were 8, 32, 52, 56, 64, Powerball 23, extending the rollover streak yet again. 

At its current estimate, this jackpot would sit among the biggest prizes the game has ever offered. Several outlets list it as the sixth or seventh largest Powerball jackpot. Either way, it is the largest estimated prize in Powerball history that has not crossed $1 billion. 

For players wondering where the next winning ticket might be sold, Casinos.com reviewed Powerball data to see which states have historically produced the most jackpot winners and where a lucky player would take home the biggest payout after taxes.

Feeling lucky? Claim a casino bonus or free sweeps coins to see if luck is indeed on your side. 

Here’s what you need to know.

Powerball Jackpot Winners in 2025

So far this year, five jackpots have been hit:

Oregon (Jan. 18): $328.5 million 

New Jersey (Mar. 29): $527 million

Kentucky (Apr. 26): $167.3 million

California (May 31): $204.5 million

Missouri and Texas (Sept. 6): $1.787 billion (split between two winning tickets) 

Since Sept. 6, no one has claimed the top prize, allowing the jackpot to grow deep into December.

_{Powerball fever is rising as tickets roll out ahead of the $930 million jackpot. (Image: AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)}

Which States Offer Powerball

Powerball is available in 45 states, Washington D.C., Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Five states do not participate: Alaska, Alabama, Hawaii, Nevada, and Utah.

Which States Win Powerball the Most

Since Powerball began in 1992, there have been 420 jackpot wins. The states with the strongest track records are:

Powerball Odds by State

When it comes to predicting where the next jackpot might land, history only tells part of the story. States like Indiana and Missouri have produced the most winners over time, but large states with huge ticket sales, such as California, Florida, Texas, and New York, also deserve shorter odds. 

Mid-sized states like Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Kentucky, and Wisconsin remain solid contenders based on their track records, while many smaller states cluster together at the longer-shot end of the spectrum. And then, of course, there are the true wild cards: the handful of states that have yet to see their first-ever jackpot win.

The table below blends historical wins with population and ticket sales volume to present hypothetical odds for Wednesday’s $930 million Powerball drawing.

Every ticket has the same mathematical chance of winning 1 in 292.2 million regardless of where it’s purchased. These are hypothetical odds and meant for entertainment purposes only.

“Some states stand out because of a long history of jackpot wins, while others benefit simply from their size and ticket sales,” said Alex Murphy, Digital PR Specialist at Casinos.com. “Indiana and Missouri have long been among the most successful states, but the sheer volume of tickets sold in California, Florida, and Texas gives those states a natural advantage. The other outcome people forget is that a rollover is still very live, even when the jackpot is this big.”

Odds of no jackpot winner (rollover again)

Even with a massive jackpot, the most likely result on Wednesday is still that no one wins the top prize.

Each individual ticket has 1 in 292.2 million odds of hitting all six numbers. Whether anyone wins in a given drawing depends on how many tickets are sold nationwide.

Based on typical ticket volume when jackpots approach a billion dollars, the estimated chance of another rollover on Wednesday is roughly in the 50% to 60% range. Put simply, “no state wins again” is close to a coin flip, and it is exactly why jackpots can keep climbing for weeks at a time. This is an estimate derived from per-ticket odds and historic high-jackpot sales patterns, not an official lottery projection. 

Powerball has now gone 41 consecutive drawings without a jackpot winner since the Sept. 6 hit, so another no-winner result would extend one of the longest rollover runs of 2025.

Location, Location, Location

Every ticket has the same statistical chance of winning, but geography determines how much of the jackpot a player actually takes home. Indiana and Missouri stand out for their long history of winners, yet the real difference comes after the numbers are drawn. 

The IRS immediately withholds 24% of large lottery prizes, and most winners owe additional taxes at the end of the year, pushing the federal rate close to 37%. Many states then add their own lottery tax on top, often ranging from 3% to more than 10%. Not every state, however, takes a slice. 

Players in California, Florida, New Hampshire, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Washington, and Wyoming pay no state lottery tax at all. 

That means a winner in those states can walk away with tens of millions more than someone who bought their ticket in a high-tax state such as Minnesota or New York.

Choosing Between a Big Check Now or Later (Lump Sum vs. Annuity)

Winning the Powerball is not just about beating the odds. It also comes with a big financial decision. Do you want your prize as a lump sum or spread out as an annuity paid over 30 years?

In a no-tax state like California or Florida, a $930 million jackpot would translate to roughly $545 million in annuity payments after federal taxes, or about $270 million as a lump sum. These are estimates based on standard federal rates and the advertised cash value. 

In Florida, a regular person would need to work for roughly 6000 years for those earnings.

In high-tax states, those totals shrink. A Minnesota winner could expect closer to $460 million after taxes with the annuity. 

The cash option is estimated at $429 million before taxes. After federal withholding, a winner in California or Florida would take home about $270 million, since those states do not tax lottery prizes. 

In Minnesota, adding the state’s lottery tax cuts the payout to about $228 million. That is roughly a $42 million difference simply because of where the ticket was bought. 

The choice between a lump sum and an annuity comes down to how a winner wants to manage their money. Pair that decision with the uneven history of where jackpots have been won and the wide variation in state tax laws, and it becomes clear that the headline number only tells part of the story. Where the winning ticket is sold, and how the prize is claimed, will ultimately determine how much of this $930 million jackpot ends up in the winner’s pocket.

Our Pick: Where the Next Powerball Jackpot Might Land

Looking at both history and ticket sales, California is our prediction for the next jackpot winner. 

Its massive ticket volume gives it an edge over historically lucky states like Indiana and Missouri, and it is priced accordingly in the hypothetical odds table.

Florida is close behind thanks to strong sales and no state tax on winnings. Missouri and Texas sit right in the mix as well, both boosted by the Sept. 6 split and by the scale of ticket volume in Texas.

And though the odds are long, a first-time winner from Maine, Mississippi, North Dakota, or Wyoming would be the ultimate Powerball surprise.

Still, the most likely single outcome on Wednesday may be another rollover, so do not be surprised if this jackpot carries over and heads past $1 billion for the next draw.